NBA Betting Pick: Miami Heat vs. Boston Celtics Game Four
Monday, May 09, 2011
by BetUS.com
Looking to tie the series, the Boston Celtics will host the one and a half point favorite Miami Heat, this Monday at the TD Garden at 7 PM ET, in the fourth game of the series.
NBA Betting Odds:
Miami Heat +1.5
Boston Celtics -1.5
O/U 180.5
Before placing your bet, know that this series has been dominated by the home team and not just in the playoffs but since the regular season also. The home team is currently 5-0 ATS in games between these two squads but this is the first time the visitors are actually the favorites.
The reason why the Celtics are the underdogs despite playing at home is the unknown status of their point guard Rajon Rondo who was injured early in the second half when he was fouled by Wade in game 3. Rondo scored six points and recorded 11 assists and came back to play with a sore elbow.
Rondo will probably play this Monday but how effective will he be. To me there is no doubt that Rajon is the player that the Celtics need healthy the most. They are completely a different team without him on the court; expect him to play and lead the Celtics There’s no way he’ll miss this game.
For the Heat their game plan should be back to basics as they need to defend the basket better and start winning the rebound battle; not to mention they need to stop the Celtics fast breaks. Boston scored 18 points on fast breaks against only five from Miami.
Also Lebron James needs to step up tonight as he’s coming off his worst NBA playoffs performance in over three years, scoring only 15 points and shooting 6-for-16 from the floor.
Consider these NBA Playoff betting trends:
MIAMI is:
- 28-16 ATS as a road favorite
- 1-4 ATS as a road favorite of 3 points or less
- 12-15 ATS revenging a loss vs. opponent
- 11-13 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season
BOSTON is:
- 7-25 ATS off SU win by 10+ points
- 2-0 ATS as a home underdog of 3 points or less
- 7-25 ATS after a win by 10 points or more
BetUS Sportsbook NBA Betting Pick: Take the Celtics with the points.
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boston celtics - miami heat - nba playoff betting - rajon rondo - td garden